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Monday
Mar092009

The Intrade "World Crisis" Index

The following contracts were initially priced at 50.0 on January 27, 2009 at the start of the World Economic Forum in Davos. Together, they are equally weighted to form the "world crisis" index on the popular prediction market Intrade.

A higher index means that the markets predict a more disastrous 2009.

How these eight items were chosen remains mysterious. There are far greater crises than a German recession.

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